Gandhinagar, October 4, 2025: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast widespread rainfall and thunderstorms across Gujarat, Daman, Diu, and Dadra & Nagar Haveli over the next seven days, with varying intensity across regions. The bulletin issued on Saturday evening highlights the impact of Severe Cyclonic Storm “Shakhti” over the northeast Arabian Sea, which is expected to influence weather conditions until mid-October.

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Synoptic Situation

According to IMD, the line of withdrawal of the southwest monsoon currently passes through Veraval, Bharuch, Ujjain, Jhansi, Shahjahanpur, and 30°N/81°E.
Cyclonic storm Shakthi was centered around 22.0°N and 64.5°E, approximately 470 km west of Dwarka and Naliya, and 420 km southwest of Karachi (Pakistan). It is likely to move west-southwestwards till October 5 before recurving east-northeastwards and weakening gradually.

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Date-Wise Forecast

Day 1: October 4–5, 2025

• Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at a few places in all the districts of North Gujarat
  region namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad,
  Anand, Panchmahal, Dahod, Mahisagar; at a few places in all the districts of South Gujarat region
  namely Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadra
  and Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar, Rajkot,
  Jamnagar, Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad and in Diu; at
  isolated places in Kutch district

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Day 2: October 5–6, 2025

• Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat
  region namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad,
  Anand, Panchmahal, Dahod, Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region
  namely Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadra
  and Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar, Rajkot,
  Jamnagar, Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad and in Diu; at
  isolated places in Kutch district.

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Day 3: October 6–7, 2025

• Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at most places in all the districts of North Gujarat
  region namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad,
  Anand, Panchmahal, Dahod, Mahisagar; at most places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
  Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadra and
  Nagar Haveli; at many places in all the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch namely Surendranagar, Rajkot,
  Jamnagar, Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad, Kutch and in
  Diu.

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Day 4: October 7–8, 2025

• Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat
  region namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad,
  Anand, Panchmahal, Dahod, Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region
  namely Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadra
  and Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch namely Surendranagar, Rajkot,
  Jamnagar, Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad, Kutch and in
  Diu.

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Day 5: October 8–9, 2025

• Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat
  region namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad,
  Anand, Panchmahal, Dahod, Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region
  namely Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadra
  and Nagar Haveli; at many places in all the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch namely Surendranagar, Rajkot,
  Jamnagar, Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad, Kutch and in
  Diu.

• Alert: Heavy rain likely at isolated places in:

  • South Gujarat: Surat, Navsari, Valsad, Daman, Dadra & Nagar Haveli

  • Saurashtra-Kutch: Jamnagar, Porbandar, and Dwarka

• Thunderstorm warning: Light thunderstorms with lightning and surface winds (30–40 kmph) at isolated places across all regions.

 

Yellow Alert: Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Surat,
Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadra and Nagar Haveli; in the districts of SaurashtraKutch namely Jamnagar, Porbandar and Dwarka.
Light thunderstorm with lightning and surface wind 30-40 kmph accompanied with light
to moderate rain very likely at isolated places in all the districts of North Gujarat Region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda,
Ahmedabad, Anand, Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; in all the districts of South
Gujarat Region namely Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang,
Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadra and Nagar Haveli; in all the districts of
Saurashtra-Kutch namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar, Porband

 

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Day 6: October 9–10, 2025

• Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at a few places in all the districts of North Gujarat
  region namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad,
  Anand, Panchmahal, Dahod, Mahisagar; at a few places in all the districts of South Gujarat region
  namely Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadra
  and Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch namely Surendranagar, Rajkot,
  Jamnagar, Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad, Kutch and in
  Diu.

• Alert: Heavy rain likely at isolated places in Valsad and Daman, Dadra & Nagar Haveli.

• Thunderstorm warning: Similar conditions with lightning and surface winds (30–40 kmph) expected at isolated places.

• Yellow alert: Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Valsad
  and in Daman, Dadra and Nagar Haveli.
  Light thunderstorm with lightning and surface wind 30-40 kmph accompanied with light
  to moderate rain very likely at isolated places in all the districts of North Gujarat Region
  namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda,
  Ahmedabad, Anand, Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; in all the districts of South
  Gujarat Region namely Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang,
  Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadra and Nagar Haveli.

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Day 7: October 10–11, 2025

• Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at isolated places in all the districts of SaurashtraKutch namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar, Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi,
  Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad, Kutch and in Diu; at isolated places in all the districts of South Gujarat
  region namely Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in
  Daman, Dadra and Nagar Haveli.Dry weather very likely in all the districts of North Gujarat region.

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City Forecast – Ahmedabad

• Sky: Generally cloudy

• Rain: Light rain likely

• Temperature: Maximum 34°C, Minimum 24°C

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Weather Outlook (October 11–13, 2025)

No significant change is expected beyond October 11. The IMD forecasts stable conditions with mild or isolated showers at some locations.

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Warnings and Precautions

Heavy Rain Impact (Orange/Red Alerts)

• Expected Impacts:

  • Waterlogging, flooding of low-lying areas, and heavy traffic congestion

  • Damage to standing crops, banana and papaya trees, and power lines

  • Uprooting of trees, falling hoardings, and potential landslides in hilly areas

  • Flooding near rivers and drains, especially in slum areas and low-lying zones

• Advisory:

  • Residents should avoid travel during heavy downpours, move to safer shelters, and keep electronic appliances unplugged.

  • Avoid standing under trees during thunderstorms.

  • Fishermen advised to suspend coastal activities due to rough sea conditions.

Summary:
With Cyclone Shakthi still active over the Arabian Sea and a trough persisting across central India, Gujarat is likely to experience widespread light to moderate rainfall till October 11, with heavy showers expected mid-week in southern and coastal districts. Citizens are urged to remain alert, especially in Valsad, Navsari, Surat, Jamnagar, and Daman regions, where heavy rainfall warnings are in place.